National League Central rivals face off on a getaway day matchup Wednesday when the Chicago Cubs host the St. Louis Cardinals at 2:10 p.m. ET. The Cubs are -120 on the money line, meaning it would take a $120 bet on Chicago to win to return $100.
Before you make a pick for either side, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say. This model has simulated the marquee matinee 10,000 times to create a money line pick that hits three percent more often than the odds say it should.
The projection model entered this week on a 10-5 run for a 67 percent cash rate. Now, it’s broken down every conceivable at-bat for the NL Central showdown.
The computer knows Luke Weaver has been strong out of the gate for the Cards, sporting a 2.08 ERA with a 2-0 record and 17 strikeouts over 17.1 innings.
But the Cubs have been his kryptonite. Weaver has never beaten Chicago — in fact, the current roster has a .476 average against him, albeit in limited at-bats.
Jon Lester, meanwhile, has been ho-hum thus far with a 4.40 ERA. But he was 2-1 with a 2.93 ERA in five starts against the Cardinals last year, and the entire team is batting .250 lifetime against him (148 at-bats). Adding to his cause is St. Louis’ season struggles against lefties — .196 so far.
But will those trends continue? The Cards’ offense has been solid more often than not this season, ranking second in the NL in home runs (24), third in average (.246) and sixth in runs (74).
Each team gets a boost, as Chicago activated All-Star Anthony Rizzo from the disabled list in time for Tuesday night’s game, while the Cardinals activated infielder Jedd Gyorko and reliever Luke Gregerson.
So which side do you need to back? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Cardinals-Cubs money line has very strong value on Wednesday, all from the computer model on a 10-5 run.